Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.726610 0.844056 0.971601 1.120038 1.287661 1.470699 1.685295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.541442 0.699030 0.885678 1.121439 1.409532 1.748255 2.174609
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.441559 0.624731 0.858364 1.174340 1.586092 2.099589 2.782818
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.364391 0.559774 0.825915 1.207879 1.733658 2.422509 3.381928
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.319088 0.526911 0.826615 1.279086 1.931197 2.821075 4.107526
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.264598 0.469167 0.781034 1.275282 2.019186 3.073589 4.651110
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.219233 0.416269 0.732954 1.258182 2.081028 3.288410 5.151652
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.184343 0.373613 0.693355 1.246537 2.145623 3.506954 5.667079
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.162204 0.348845 0.678616 1.270988 2.265369 3.812684 6.327598
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.142344 0.324450 0.660519 1.286326 2.369485 4.098744 6.973011
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.124523 0.300592 0.639647 1.293367 2.458467 4.364366 7.599743
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.112309 0.285854 0.633319 1.324676 2.589623 4.704114 8.361079
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.098337 0.265166 0.613519 1.330341 2.678815 4.984724 9.051016
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081814 0.235357 0.571272 1.288454 2.678895 5.115443 9.502372
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.074779 0.226621 0.571392 1.329183 2.833355 5.519653 10.434345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067648 0.216160 0.566237 1.358330 2.967661 5.895849 11.337705
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064492 0.215456 0.582601 1.433460 3.195553 6.450811 12.577945
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056460 0.199692 0.562111 1.427718 3.263648 6.719908 13.328386
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.048750 0.182977 0.536779 1.408214 3.301707 6.934617 13.990910
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042438 0.168849 0.515540 1.395104 3.350796 7.171101 14.702138
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.038733 0.162045 0.511889 1.421929 3.484883 7.575607 15.739580
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.035002 0.154232 0.504420 1.438775 3.598515 7.946032 16.729758
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.031341 0.145702 0.493720 1.446509 3.692527 8.282375 17.670166